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Top 10 Poker Stats

Have you always hated maths? Does the thought of calculating statistics give you goose bumps? Here’s 10 stats which will guide you on your way

1. Your chances of hitting aces

One in 220! So have patience!

2. Kings in hand

When you have kings in your hand, you have one chance in 22 to see aces at a full table of 10 players.

So get some money in the pot!

3. A pair against a less valuable pair


Example
Jack of Diamonds Jack of Clubs

80% chance

Versus Six of Diamonds Six of Hearts

Only 20% chance of victory

4. A typical coin-flip situation


one pair against two superior cards. This is your classic “race” we often hear of.
Five of Diamonds Five of Spades

52% chance

Versus Ace of Hearts King of Hearts

48% chance


The pair is slightly favoured in most cases

5. One community card and one superior card

The weaker the kicker, the greater the chances of sharing the pot


Example 1
Ace of Hearts King of Spades

72% chance

Versus Ace of Clubs Queen of Hearts

23% chance

5% chance of sharing the pot

Example 2
Ace of Hearts Five of Spafes

34% chance

Versus Ace of Clubs Four of Hearts

22% chance

44% chance of sharing the pot

6. Transforming one’s pocket pair into a set

The mantra of small pairs: if I make my set on the flop, it’s going to hurt!

Five of Diamonds Five of Spades

12% (1 in 8) chance of making a set on the flop

4% (1 in 24) chance of making a set on the turn

4% (1 in 24) chance of making a set on the river

That is, a 20% (1 in 5) chance in all.

7. Completing one’s flush after the flop

Or, “How not to throw one’s money out the window.”

Player Flop
Ten of Hearts Jack of Hearts Three of Hearts Four of Hearts Eight of Clubs

20% (1 in 5) chance of making one’s flush at the turn.

4% (1 in 5) chance of making one’s flush at the river. That is, a 35% (1 in 3) chance in all.

8. Completing one’s straight after the flop

Flush and straight: Same battle?

Player Flop
Seven of Diamonds Eight of Clubs Six of Hearts Nine of Clubs Ace of Diamonds

17% (1 in 6) chance of making a straight at the Turn 17% (1 in 6) chance of making a straight at the River

That is, a 31% (1 in 3) chance in all.

9. Miracles

They say they exist.

Straight and flush: Same battle?

Don’t count on them to make you a winner.

A few examples of post-flop magic:

  • Beat a pocket pair with a set: 5% (1 in 20)
  • Beat a flush with a pair: 3% (1 in 33)
  • Beat a flush with a straight: 0% (!!!)

10. The degree of statistics’ reliability is 100%

Don’t let bad times get you down. If you put your money in the pot as the favourite, most of the time you will be a winning player